Calibration Game 3
Forecasting Tips - Reminder
Try the range questions again but this time:
Consider any facts that you do know about the topic
Consider any facts you know that might provide insight– for instance you might not know the distance between any capital world cities; but it will be less than ½ the circumference of the earth (circumference is 25,000 miles / 40,000km at the equator.
Think about the upper and lower estimate independently rather than using one as a reference for the other.
Identify what would be ‘extreme’ values for the upper and lower estimates and then consider reasons to make the range narrower.