White Paper: 'Qualitative Risk: Time for a Rethink'
Qualitiatve RIsk Management and Risk Matrices are widely used tools, but does their use in Project contexts make sense?
White Paper: Crossing the CASM
CASM is a framework for thinking about a complexity in project cost forecasts, supported by calculation methods that provide more realistic forecasts with minimal effort.
Recommendations are made about the treatment of interdependencies whether using CASM or other methods. The appendices explain theory of different methods for quantification of uncertainty, including Monte Carlo analysis.
To prompt people to be creative Richard Wiseman recommends a particular style of modern art in his book 59 Seconds. This is based on research that seeing a piece that evokes ‘sense of unconventionality would sub consciously inspire viewers to be more creative’.
Using the description in the book my designer friend created this graphic. I have as a poster on the wall and use on prompt sheets issued to workshop attendees for problem solving activities. You could also use as a screen saver.
Project Risk Analysis Managers Briefing, Presentation & Notes
Presentation given to stakeholders in client organistions so they are able to effectivly interpret the findings of forecasting exercises.
Alternate Risk Register Format
This is the risk register format used for client assignements, and optimised for workshop settings. No qualitative risk matrices, uses a simple 'Highest/High/Med/Low' prioritisation instead (over 100 customer exercises). Can also manages quantitave data.
Collective Range Estimation Tool
This spreadsheet processes minimum and maximum estimates from individuals to provide a collective forecast. Rules of Thumb are used to derive the forecast. Also displays the distribution of estimates.